Modelling how COVID-19 could affect Australia

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The Australian Government has released modelling on the impact of COVID-19 in Australia.

If we continue with our strategy of isolation, quarantine and social isolation, we expect that our health system will cope with the projected peak in cases.

The Australian Government is boosting our intensive care unit (ICU) bed capacity to around 7,000 beds.

The modelling compares the peak daily ICU bed demand under 3 different scenarios:

  • uncontrolled spread – 35,000
  • isolation and quarantine – 17,000
  • isolation, quarantine and social isolation – below 5000

Australia will continue using the tools we have to control the disease:

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