Below-average rainfall is likely in parts of the south-east and parts of the far north.
Temperatures are very likely to be above average for most of the country, and El Niño continues to strengthen.
September temperatures were above average across most of the country, except in the far north.
Each state and territory recorded temperatures that ranked among their top ten warmest Septembers on record.
Rainfall during September was above average for parts of the north and much of the west.
In contrast, September rainfall was below average in the south-west and in much of the eastern half of the country.
Some areas had their driest September on record.
Root zone soil moisture as of 13 October is above average across much of the southern and central interior.
Soil moisture is below average in parts of western and eastern Australia, including Tasmania.
Looking ahead, November to January rainfall is likely to be above average for areas of western and central Australia and parts of the east.
Below-average rainfall is likely in parts of the south-east and parts of the far north for November to January.
For October to December, low streamflow is likely at around 84% of sites across Australia.
High streamflow is likely at 3% of sites, and near-median flow at 8% of sites, scattered across the country.
Most of the country has an increased chance of unusually warm daytime temperatures for November to January.
Chances of unusually warm days are highest across southern and far northern parts of Australia.
There’s a very high chance of unusually warm night-time temperatures across most of Australia for November to January.
Surface temperatures across the Australian region are forecast to warm during November to January.
This raises the risk of marine heatwaves, especially across parts of the west and in the south. El Niño continues to strengthen and is expected to peak in November or December.
A positive Indian Ocean Dipole is likely to develop during spring.
We update our long-range forecast regularly. Select your location to
