– Below average rainfall likely across parts of southern and eastern Australia.
– Above average rainfall likely for much of the west.
– Temperatures are very likely to be above average for most of the country.
– El Niño continues to strengthen.
July temperatures were above average across much of the west and east and parts of the north, and close to average elsewhere. Tasmania experienced its 3rd warmest July on record for daytime temperatures.
Rainfall during July was above average for parts of central Australia. In contrast it was below average for much of the west and parts of the south and east. For Western Australia, it was the fourth-driest July on record.
Root-zone soil moisture is currently above average across much of the interior and parts of the south, especially in South Australia. Areas of below average soil moisture have expanded over the east and large parts of the west following below-average rainfall during July.
Looking ahead, spring rainfall is likely to be below average for the south-east, far south-west, and eastern and northern Queensland. And for most of Australia’s western half, above average rainfall is likely.
For August to October, low streamflow is forecast at many sites across the south and in parts of the east, west of the divide. High streamflow is likely for scattered sites across the south-east and north. Near median streamflow in parts of southern and eastern Australia.
Daytime temperatures for spring are very likely to be above average across most of the country, south of the tropics. Cooler than average days are likely for some regions in the north.
Night-time temperatures are also very likely to be above average across most of Australia.
Sea surface temperatures are forecast to be warmer than average across much of the globe during September to November, including notably warm waters near south-eastern Australia. El Niño is expected to strengthen while a positive Indian Ocean Dipole is also likely to develop over the coming weeks and continue into spring.
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