NZ citizens migrating home in record numbers

New Zealand citizens are returning to, and staying in, New Zealand in record numbers, as the COVID-19 pandemic spreads, Stats NZ said today.

Annual migrant arrivals of New Zealand citizens are provisionally estimated at 42,800 for the year ended March 2020, with almost half of these arriving between December 2019 and March 2020. This is the highest annual number on record.

All provisional estimates are subject to revision however, especially as some New Zealand citizens who recently returned may head back overseas once border restrictions are relaxed and international travel resumes.

Annual migrant departures of New Zealand citizens are provisionally estimated at 35,700 for the year ended March 2020. This is well below the annual average of 52,800 since 2001.

As a result, net migration of New Zealand citizens for the year ended March 2020 is provisionally estimated at 7,200.

“This is the highest annual figure on record, and is a reversal of the long-standing historical pattern where more New Zealand citizens depart than arrive,” population insights senior manager Brooke Theyers said.

“Historical fluctuations in the net migration of New Zealand citizens have largely been driven by trans-Tasman departures.”

Migrant arrivals and departures include the flows of New Zealand citizens as well as the flows of non-New Zealand citizens, as both affect the population living in New Zealand.

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The net migration loss of New Zealand citizens was significant in 1998-2001, 2007-09, and 2011-13. The net loss has been relatively low since 2014.

In March 2020 the New Zealand Government escalated its response to the COVID-19 pandemic and heavily restricted movement across our international border. Since March many international flights worldwide have been cancelled as governments try to stop the spread of COVID-19.

“In recent months, more New Zealand citizens than usual have migrated home, for a number of reasons, including possibly seeing New Zealand as a safe haven,” Mrs Theyers said.

“At the same time, New Zealand citizens may have been unable or reluctant to head offshore.”

month2017/182018/192019/20
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June-814-1460-1046
July-729-1163-435
August-479-57558
September63-69321
October276-183595
November19979861
December10749532743
January-297-322849
February-604-6201434
March-1300-10774048

Migration of non-New Zealand citizens remains high

There was an estimated net gain of 64,300 non-New Zealand citizens in the year ended March 2020.

The annual net gain of non-New Zealand citizens has fluctuated around 60,000 since mid-2015. These levels are relatively high historically but below the peak of 75,600 in the year ended October 2002.

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2014-11-0191405
2014-12-0191692
2015-01-0193409
2015-02-0193994
2015-03-0194998
2015-04-0195664
2015-05-0196174
2015-06-0196637
2015-07-0197834
2015-08-0198374
2015-09-0199387
2015-10-01100693
2015-11-01101717
2015-12-01102859
2016-01-01103340
2016-02-01104966
2016-03-01105101
2016-04-01105586
2016-05-01106275
2016-06-01106596
2016-07-01106795
2016-08-01105994
2016-09-01105788
2016-10-01105567
2016-11-01105505
2016-12-01105599
2017-01-01105860
2017-02-01105637
2017-03-01105628
2017-04-01105295
2017-05-01105218
2017-06-01105535
2017-07-01105685
2017-08-01106115
2017-09-01105739
2017-10-01105540
2017-11-01105403
2017-12-01105275
2018-01-01105654
2018-02-01104853
2018-03-01105014
2018-04-01104843
2018-05-01104852
2018-06-01104517
2018-07-01104445
2018-08-01104842
2018-09-01105308
2018-10-01105294
2018-11-01105104
2018-12-01105315
2019-01-01105162
2019-02-01105253
2019-03-01105004
2019-04-01104753
2019-05-01104812
2019-06-01105135
2019-07-01105316
2019-08-01105758
2019-09-01106197
2019-10-01107540
2019-11-01108624
2019-12-01110235
2020-01-01113029
2020-02-01115497
2020-03-01114381
2001-12-0126776
2002-01-0126389
2002-02-0126095
2002-03-0125680
2002-04-0125481
2002-05-0125426
2002-06-0125453
2002-07-0125625
2002-08-0125678
2002-09-0125846
2002-10-0125999
2002-11-0126632
2002-12-0127438
2003-01-0128020
2003-02-0128300
2003-03-0128930
2003-04-0129218
2003-05-0129382
2003-06-0129616
2003-07-0130281
2003-08-0130866
2003-09-0131304
2003-10-0131689
2003-11-0132666
2003-12-0133795
2004-01-0134075
2004-02-0134484
2004-03-0134635
2004-04-0135110
2004-05-0135661
2004-06-0136418
2004-07-0137283
2004-08-0137232
2004-09-0137468
2004-10-0137537
2004-11-0137855
2004-12-0138282
2005-01-0138499
2005-02-0138737
2005-03-0138891
2005-04-0139012
2005-05-0138987
2005-06-0138853
2005-07-0138822
2005-08-0139016
2005-09-0138944
2005-10-0138942
2005-11-0138244
2005-12-0137901
2006-01-0137563
2006-02-0137137
2006-03-0136821
2006-04-0136804
2006-05-0136836
2006-06-0136821
2006-07-0136327
2006-08-0136385
2006-09-0136513
2006-10-0136674
2006-11-0136536
2006-12-0136499
2007-01-0136512
2007-02-0136745
2007-03-0136877
2007-04-0136805
2007-05-0136910
2007-06-0136992
2007-07-0136995
2007-08-0137062
2007-09-0137021
2007-10-0137042
2007-11-0137147
2007-12-0137098
2008-01-0137205
2008-02-0137290
2008-03-0137433
2008-04-0137628
2008-05-0137866
2008-06-0138018
2008-07-0138420
2008-08-0138612
2008-09-0138750
2008-10-0138917
2008-11-0139280
2008-12-0139514
2009-01-0139784
2009-02-0140065
2009-03-0140274
2009-04-0140287
2009-05-0140309
2009-06-0140439
2009-07-0140540
2009-08-0140780
2009-09-0140997
2009-10-0141171
2009-11-0141263
2009-12-0141162
2010-01-0141167
2010-02-0141353
2010-03-0141621
2010-04-0141941
2010-05-0142299
2010-06-0142434
2010-07-0142572
2010-08-0142588
2010-09-0142776
2010-10-0143096
2010-11-0143285
2010-12-0143434
2011-01-0143706
2011-02-0143756
2011-03-0144347
2011-04-0144544
2011-05-0144678
2011-06-0144451
2011-07-0144809
2011-08-0144963
2011-09-0144575
2011-10-0144599
2011-11-0144621
2011-12-0144609
2012-01-0144564
2012-02-0144274
2012-03-0143672
2012-04-0143339
2012-05-0142883
2012-06-0143081
2012-07-0142592
2012-08-0142372
2012-09-0142224
2012-10-0141673
2012-11-0141429
2012-12-0141039
2013-01-0140564
2013-02-0140268
2013-03-0140035
2013-04-0139876
2013-05-0140263
2013-06-0140223
2013-07-0140297
2013-08-0140098
2013-09-0140091
2013-10-0140051
2013-11-0139804
2013-12-0139439
2014-01-0139314
2014-02-0139338
2014-03-0139106
2014-04-0139017
2014-05-0138690
2014-06-0138527
2014-07-0138047
2014-08-0137948
2014-09-0137996
2014-10-0137873
2014-11-0137867
2014-12-0137828
2015-01-0138098
2015-02-0138348
2015-03-0138714
2015-04-0138785
2015-05-0138777
2015-06-0138929
2015-07-0138977
2015-08-0139047
2015-09-0138971
2015-10-0139152
2015-11-0139045
2015-12-0139227
2016-01-0139179
2016-02-0139141
2016-03-0139309
2016-04-0139637
2016-05-0139818
2016-06-0139815
2016-07-0140050
2016-08-0140164
2016-09-0140459
2016-10-0140479
2016-11-0140941
2016-12-0141417
2017-01-0141962
2017-02-0142471
2017-03-0142619
2017-04-0142836
2017-05-0143504
2017-06-0144137
2017-07-0144922
2017-08-0145584
2017-09-0146283
2017-10-0147050
2017-11-0147443
2017-12-0148229
2018-01-0148498
2018-02-0148791
2018-03-0149357
2018-04-0149667
2018-05-0149621
2018-06-0149525
2018-07-0149362
2018-08-0149309
2018-09-0149018
2018-10-0148675
2018-11-0148434
2018-12-0148076
2019-01-0148405
2019-02-0148176
2019-03-0147886
2019-04-0147789
2019-05-0147679
2019-06-0148048
2019-07-0147934
2019-08-0147869
2019-09-0148054
2019-10-0148332
2019-11-0149727
2019-12-0150511
2020-01-0150856
2020-02-0151040
2020-03-0150108
2001-12-0159189
2002-01-0162859
2002-02-0164414
2002-03-0167631
2002-04-0169450
2002-05-0170816
2002-06-0172351
2002-07-0173391
2002-08-0174742
2002-09-0175336
2002-10-0175638
2002-11-0175482
2002-12-0174899
2003-01-0174034
2003-02-0173355
2003-03-0171413
2003-04-0169935
2003-05-0168784
2003-06-0167049
2003-07-0164943
2003-08-0162364
2003-09-0159748
2003-10-0157574
2003-11-0154486
2003-12-0152216
2004-01-0149582
2004-02-0147283
2004-03-0144900
2004-04-0142970
2004-05-0141672
2004-06-0139927
2004-07-0137632
2004-08-0136583
2004-09-0135648
2004-10-0134748
2004-11-0133877
2004-12-0133365
2005-01-0132558
2005-02-0131880
2005-03-0131917
2005-04-0132327
2005-05-0132768
2005-06-0133141
2005-07-0132880
2005-08-0133187
2005-09-0133745
2005-10-0134058
2005-11-0134803
2005-12-0135395
2006-01-0135718
2006-02-0136839
2006-03-0137680
2006-04-0137814
2006-05-0137668
2006-06-0138192
2006-07-0139712
2006-08-0140352
2006-09-0140979
2006-10-0141549
2006-11-0142865
2006-12-0143685
2007-01-0144271
2007-02-0144580
2007-03-0145362
2007-04-0145780
2007-05-0146017
2007-06-0146410
2007-07-0146410
2007-08-0147062
2007-09-0147279
2007-10-0147220
2007-11-0147011
2007-12-0146886
2008-01-0146662
2008-02-0147979
2008-03-0148138
2008-04-0148673
2008-05-0149760
2008-06-0150405
2008-07-0151190
2008-08-0151435
2008-09-0151212
2008-10-0151455
2008-11-0151014
2008-12-0150558
2009-01-0150426
2009-02-0149493
2009-03-0148378
2009-04-0147187
2009-05-0145672
2009-06-0143817
2009-07-0142452
2009-08-0140398
2009-09-0139144
2009-10-0137457
2009-11-0135903
2009-12-0134495
2010-01-0133004
2010-02-0131180
2010-03-0129985
2010-04-0128847
2010-05-0127643
2010-06-0126856
2010-07-0126358
2010-08-0126535
2010-09-0126262
2010-10-0126560
2010-11-0126426
2010-12-0126252
2011-01-0125781
2011-02-0126428
2011-03-0126283
2011-04-0126430
2011-05-0126575
2011-06-0126954
2011-07-0126869
2011-08-0126592
2011-09-0126857
2011-10-0126348
2011-11-0126678
2011-12-0126749
2012-01-0127033
2012-02-0127474
2012-03-0128519
2012-04-0128427
2012-05-0128994
2012-06-0129234
2012-07-0128984
2012-08-0129050
2012-09-0129261
2012-10-0130050
2012-11-0130302
2012-12-0130601
2013-01-0131168
2013-02-0130853
2013-03-0131078
2013-04-0131993
2013-05-0132068
2013-06-0132788
2013-07-0133591
2013-08-0134316
2013-09-0134521
2013-10-0135379
2013-11-0136499
2013-12-0137752
2014-01-0138814
2014-02-0140565
2014-03-0141899
2014-04-0142730
2014-05-0143906
2014-06-0144750
2014-07-0146961
2014-08-0149131
2014-09-0151098
2014-10-0152472
2014-11-0153538
2014-12-0153864
2015-01-0155311
2015-02-0155646
2015-03-0156284
2015-04-0156879
2015-05-0157397
2015-06-0157708
2015-07-0158857
2015-08-0159327
2015-09-0160416
2015-10-0161541
2015-11-0162672
2015-12-0163632
2016-01-0164161
2016-02-0165825
2016-03-0165792
2016-04-0165949
2016-05-0166457
2016-06-0166781
2016-07-0166745
2016-08-0165830
2016-09-0165329
2016-10-0165088
2016-11-0164564
2016-12-0164182
2017-01-0163898
2017-02-0163166
2017-03-0163009
2017-04-0162459
2017-05-0161714
2017-06-0161398
2017-07-0160763
2017-08-0160531
2017-09-0159456
2017-10-0158490
2017-11-0157960
2017-12-0157046
2018-01-0157156
2018-02-0156062
2018-03-0155657
2018-04-0155176
2018-05-0155231
2018-06-0154992
2018-07-0155083
2018-08-0155533
2018-09-0156290
2018-10-0156619
2018-11-0156670
2018-12-0157239
2019-01-0156758
2019-02-0157077
2019-03-0157118
2019-04-0156964
2019-05-0157133
2019-06-0157087
2019-07-0157382
2019-08-0157889
2019-09-0158144
2019-10-0159208
2019-11-0158897
2019-12-0159723
2020-01-0162172
2020-02-0164457
2020-03-0164273

Year ended March 2020 – provisional migration estimates

Provisional migration estimates for the year ended March 2020 show annual net migration at 71,500. Migrant arrivals were 157,200 and migrant departures were 85,800.

The latest international migration estimates up to March 2020 are more uncertain than usual, due to COVID-19 travel restrictions in New Zealand and other countries.

The latest net migration estimate will be revised in subsequent months but currently exceeds the earlier, finalised, record of 63,900 reached in mid-2016.

2001-12-01115365
2002-01-01118811
2002-02-01120385
2002-03-01123461
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2002-08-01131744
2002-09-01132763
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2010-10-01101374
2010-11-01101022
2010-12-01100645
2011-01-01100248
2011-02-01100669
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2011-08-01101319
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2011-10-01100411
2011-11-01100659
2011-12-01100255
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2012-04-01100251
2012-05-01100278
2012-06-01100966
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2012-08-01100043
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2012-10-01100940
2012-11-01101321
2012-12-01102136
2013-01-01102792
2013-02-01102511
2013-03-01102862
2013-04-01104071
2013-05-01105032
2013-06-01106322
2013-07-01107852
2013-08-01108860
2013-09-01109436
2013-10-01110757
2013-11-01111901
2013-12-01113396
2014-01-01114497
2014-02-01116701
2014-03-01118026
2014-04-01119062
2014-05-01120042
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2014-07-01122344
2014-08-01124547
2014-09-01126783
2014-10-01128239
2014-11-01129530
2014-12-01130107
2015-01-01132338
2015-02-01132821
2015-03-01134037
2015-04-01134673
2015-05-01135381
2015-06-01135944
2015-07-01137194
2015-08-01137854
2015-09-01138775
2015-10-01140167
2015-11-01141154
2015-12-01142164
2016-01-01142826
2016-02-01144661
2016-03-01144858
2016-04-01145321
2016-05-01145939
2016-06-01146336
2016-07-01146563
2016-08-01145832
2016-09-01145783
2016-10-01145403
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2016-12-01145461
2017-01-01145645
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2017-04-01144662
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2019-06-01139677
2019-07-01139936
2019-08-01140415
2019-09-01140890
2019-10-01142539
2019-11-01144030
2019-12-01146944
2020-01-01150562
2020-02-01154744
2020-03-01157231
2001-12-0184243
2002-01-0181100
2002-02-0177729
2002-03-0176141
2002-04-0175249
2002-05-0173395
2002-06-0173158
2002-07-0172990
2002-08-0172938
2002-09-0172896
2002-10-0173098
2002-11-0173382
2002-12-0174006
2003-01-0174260
2003-02-0174084
2003-03-0174474
2003-04-0174180
2003-05-0174143
2003-06-0174032
2003-07-0174769
2003-08-0175518
2003-09-0175935
2003-10-0176348
2003-11-0177735
2003-12-0179316
2004-01-0179897
2004-02-0181024
2004-03-0181536
2004-04-0182611
2004-05-0183798
2004-06-0185149
2004-07-0186244
2004-08-0186498
2004-09-0187355
2004-10-0187843
2004-11-0188478
2004-12-0189577
2005-01-0190231
2005-02-0190814
2005-03-0191512
2005-04-0192373
2005-05-0192621
2005-06-0192642
2005-07-0193350
2005-08-0193608
2005-09-0193620
2005-10-0193982
2005-11-0193209
2005-12-0192925
2006-01-0192761
2006-02-0192262
2006-03-0191642
2006-04-0191664
2006-05-0191784
2006-06-0192221
2006-07-0191614
2006-08-0192231
2006-09-0192885
2006-10-0193469
2006-11-0193722
2006-12-0194222
2007-01-0194820
2007-02-0195959
2007-03-0196978
2007-04-0197547
2007-05-0198652
2007-06-0199399
2007-07-01100000
2007-08-01100644
2007-09-01101081
2007-10-01101280
2007-11-01102029
2007-12-01102741
2008-01-01103348
2008-02-01104134
2008-03-01104468
2008-04-01104888
2008-05-01105285
2008-06-01105865
2008-07-01106530
2008-08-01107257
2008-09-01107293
2008-10-01107972
2008-11-01108502
2008-12-01108108
2009-01-01107922
2009-02-01106682
2009-03-01105696
2009-04-01103904
2009-05-01101842
2009-06-0199764
2009-07-0198059
2009-08-0196091
2009-09-0194714
2009-10-0193114
2009-11-0191739
2009-12-0190288
2010-01-0189156
2010-02-0189336
2010-03-0189825
2010-04-0190466
2010-05-0191662
2010-06-0192895
2010-07-0194008
2010-08-0195249
2010-09-0196447
2010-10-0197959
2010-11-0199047
2010-12-01100776
2011-01-01102633
2011-02-01103610
2011-03-01106135
2011-04-01108122
2011-05-01109486
2011-06-01110299
2011-07-01112166
2011-08-01113176
2011-09-01113595
2011-10-01114331
2011-11-01115161
2011-12-01116194
2012-01-01116513
2012-02-01117111
2012-03-01116149
2012-04-01115630
2012-05-01115116
2012-06-01115464
2012-07-01114560
2012-08-01114306
2012-09-01114183
2012-10-01113336
2012-11-01112684
2012-12-01112234
2013-01-01111211
2013-02-01109819
2013-03-01108590
2013-04-01107378
2013-05-01106885
2013-06-01105493
2013-07-01104342
2013-08-01102788
2013-09-01101238
2013-10-0199949
2013-11-0198412
2013-12-0196084
2014-01-0194378
2014-02-0192964
2014-03-0191342
2014-04-0189977
2014-05-0188553
2014-06-0187482
2014-07-0186089
2014-08-0185405
2014-09-0185097
2014-10-0184408
2014-11-0184040
2014-12-0183444
2015-01-0183296
2015-02-0183343
2015-03-0183482
2015-04-0183554
2015-05-0183277
2015-06-0183255
2015-07-0183343
2015-08-0183248
2015-09-0183038
2015-10-0183266
2015-11-0182969
2015-12-0183112
2016-01-0182932
2016-02-0182722
2016-03-0182475
2016-04-0182784
2016-05-0182760
2016-06-0182488
2016-07-0182657
2016-08-0182570
2016-09-0182709
2016-10-0182542
2016-11-0182984
2016-12-0183383
2017-01-0184081
2017-02-0184645
2017-03-0184596
2017-04-0184782
2017-05-0185505
2017-06-0186248
2017-07-0186956
2017-08-0187780
2017-09-0188567
2017-10-0189378
2017-11-0189745
2017-12-0190531
2018-01-0190651
2018-02-0190711
2018-03-0191851
2018-04-0192179
2018-05-0192198
2018-06-0192329
2018-07-0192390
2018-08-0192397
2018-09-0192104
2018-10-0191948
2018-11-0191678
2018-12-0191027
2019-01-0191187
2019-02-0190781
2019-03-0189976
2019-04-0189254
2019-05-0188743
2019-06-0188859
2019-07-0188094
2019-08-0187434
2019-09-0187264
2019-10-0187071
2019-11-0188090
2019-12-0188388
2020-01-0188386
2020-02-0188229
2020-03-0185775
2001-12-0131122
2002-01-0137711
2002-02-0142656
2002-03-0147320
2002-04-0149873
2002-05-0153314
2002-06-0155313
2002-07-0156906
2002-08-0158806
2002-09-0159867
2002-10-0160161
2002-11-0160584
2002-12-0160636
2003-01-0160506
2003-02-0160703
2003-03-0159314
2003-04-0158787
2003-05-0158043
2003-06-0156727
2003-07-0154682
2003-08-0152068
2003-09-0149602
2003-10-0147495
2003-11-0143813
2003-12-0140953
2004-01-0137973
2004-02-0134660
2004-03-0131541
2004-04-0128730
2004-05-0126578
2004-06-0124093
2004-07-0121462
2004-08-0119947
2004-09-0118149
2004-10-0116600
2004-11-0115157
2004-12-0113801
2005-01-0112316
2005-02-0111251
2005-03-0110671
2005-04-0110422
2005-05-0110506
2005-06-0110656
2005-07-019551
2005-08-019652
2005-09-0110044
2005-10-0110003
2005-11-0110571
2005-12-0110984
2006-01-0111131
2006-02-0112290
2006-03-0113497
2006-04-0113490
2006-05-0113210
2006-06-0113192
2006-07-0114864
2006-08-0114925
2006-09-0115118
2006-10-0115163
2006-11-0116315
2006-12-0116265
2007-01-0116143
2007-02-0115552
2007-03-0115399
2007-04-0115058
2007-05-0114303
2007-06-0113997
2007-07-0113126
2007-08-0113219
2007-09-0112834
2007-10-0112650
2007-11-0111783
2007-12-0110651
2008-01-019741
2008-02-0110327
2008-03-0110223
2008-04-0110565
2008-05-0111562
2008-06-0111846
2008-07-0112542
2008-08-0112280
2008-09-0112149
2008-10-0112095
2008-11-0111504
2008-12-0112146
2009-01-0112828
2009-02-0113665
2009-03-0114011
2009-04-0114828
2009-05-0115594
2009-06-0116188
2009-07-0116887
2009-08-0117253
2009-09-0117713
2009-10-0117990
2009-11-0118056
2009-12-0118073
2010-01-0117788
2010-02-0115855
2010-03-0114479
2010-04-0113038
2010-05-0110881
2010-06-018891
2010-07-017340
2010-08-016139
2010-09-014834
2010-10-013415
2010-11-011975
2010-12-01-131
2011-01-01-2385
2011-02-01-2941
2011-03-01-5353
2011-04-01-7109
2011-05-01-8336
2011-06-01-9273
2011-07-01-10895
2011-08-01-11857
2011-09-01-12529
2011-10-01-13920
2011-11-01-14502
2011-12-01-15939
2012-01-01-16401
2012-02-01-16821
2012-03-01-15316
2012-04-01-15379
2012-05-01-14838
2012-06-01-14498
2012-07-01-14311
2012-08-01-14263
2012-09-01-13796
2012-10-01-12396
2012-11-01-11363
2012-12-01-10098
2013-01-01-8419
2013-02-01-7308
2013-03-01-5728
2013-04-01-3307
2013-05-01-1853
2013-06-01829
2013-07-013510
2013-08-016072
2013-09-018198
2013-10-0110808
2013-11-0113489
2013-12-0117312
2014-01-0120119
2014-02-0123737
2014-03-0126684
2014-04-0129085
2014-05-0131489
2014-06-0133056
2014-07-0136255
2014-08-0139142
2014-09-0141686
2014-10-0143831
2014-11-0145490
2014-12-0146663
2015-01-0149042
2015-02-0149478
2015-03-0150555
2015-04-0151119
2015-05-0152104
2015-06-0152689
2015-07-0153851
2015-08-0154606
2015-09-0155737
2015-10-0156901
2015-11-0158185
2015-12-0159052
2016-01-0159894
2016-02-0161939
2016-03-0162383
2016-04-0162537
2016-05-0163179
2016-06-0163848
2016-07-0163906
2016-08-0163262
2016-09-0163074
2016-10-0162861
2016-11-0162407
2016-12-0162078
2017-01-0161564
2017-02-0160694
2017-03-0160429
2017-04-0159880
2017-05-0158949
2017-06-0158506
2017-07-0157779
2017-08-0157093
2017-09-0155645
2017-10-0154535
2017-11-0153773
2017-12-0152549
2018-01-0152458
2018-02-0151262
2018-03-0150316
2018-04-0149637
2018-05-0149506
2018-06-0148621
2018-07-0148278
2018-08-0148632
2018-09-0149257
2018-10-0149127
2018-11-0149064
2018-12-0149512
2019-01-0149005
2019-02-0149308
2019-03-0149573
2019-04-0149885
2019-05-0150453
2019-06-0150818
2019-07-0151842
2019-08-0152981
2019-09-0153626
2019-10-0155468
2019-11-0155940
2019-12-0158556
2020-01-0162176
2020-02-0166515
2020-03-0171456

“Thousands of people who arrived in New Zealand in recent months have not been able to return home yet, or are staying longer, potentially inflating the estimated number of migrant arrivals,” Mrs Theyers said.

Their prolonged stay in New Zealand is likely to cause an initial over-estimation of migrant arrivals and net migration for the most recent months, December 2019 to March 2020.

“It is not clear when international travel will ramp up and how many people will then depart rather than extend their stay in New Zealand. This will affect how much these migration estimates get revised.”

The latest migration estimates are less certain than the estimate from six months ago. Estimated net migration for the year ended September 2019 is 53,600.

Migration estimates for the year ended November 2018 have now been finalised with a net migration of 49,100.

Who is a migrant?

‘Migrant arrivals’ are overseas residents, including New Zealand citizens, who cumulatively spend 12 of the next 16 months in New Zealand after arriving.

‘Migrant departures’ are New Zealand residents, including non-New Zealand citizens, who cumulatively spend 12 of the next 16 months out of New Zealand after departing.

Migrant arrivals and departures include the flows of New Zealand citizens as well as the flows of non-New Zealand citizens as both affect the population living in New Zealand.

The classification of travellers as migrants is based on their time spent in and out of New Zealand, not what visa type or passport they cross the border on, and not on their responses on arrival cards. Given this, we need to observe up to 16 months of travel history, using the 12/16-month rule, to definitively classify a border crossing as a migrant movement. Border crossing data after March 2020 therefore informs the latest migration estimates.

Key travel restrictions timeline

2 February 2020: New Zealand Government placed entry restrictions into New Zealand on all foreign nationals travelling from or transiting through mainland China .

2 March 2020: Travel restrictions for China and Iran to continue, and people entering the country from South Korea and northern Italy told to go into self-isolation .

14 March 2020: Every person entering New Zealand from anywhere in the world will be required to self-isolate for 14 days, excluding the Pacific.

19 March 2020: New Zealand’s borders closed to almost all travellers, except for returning New Zealanders and New Zealanders advised not to travel overseas .

24 March 2020: Tens of thousands of New Zealanders travelling overseas advised to shelter in place .

2 April 2020: New Zealand Government announced that domestic travel restrictions would be relaxed to facilitate the departure of overseas visitors .

7 April 2020: New Zealand Government announced New Zealand to enter into transit arrangements with a number of countries to make it easier for each other’s citizens to get home .

9 April 2020: New Zealand Government announced mandatory 14 day border quarantine for all returning NZ resident travellers .

/Stats NZ Public Release. View in full here.