Statistical area 2 (SA2) and statistical area 3 (SA3) population projections released in Aotearoa Data Explorer (ADE) provide an indication of future changes in the size and age-sex structure of the population usually living in each area.
Access data in Aotearoa Data Explorer (ADE)
Use ADE to view and download time-series data for SA2 and SA3 population projections:
Statistical area 2 and 3 population projections, by age and sex, 2023(base)-2053
Statistical area 2 and 3 population projections, characteristics, 2023(base)-2053
Statistical area 2 and 3 population projections, projection assumptions, 2023(base)-2053
About this release
This is the fifth instalment of the statistical area 2 (SA2) and statistical area 3 (SA3) population projections. This release includes SA2 and SA3 areas for the following territorial authority areas:
- Far North district
- Matamata-Piako district
- Ōpotiki district
- Upper Hutt city
- Masterton district
- Ashburton district
- Clutha district.
These projections are by five-year age group and sex. Projections for additional territorial authority areas will be released progressively during 2026, as they become available.
Population statistics – user guide has more information on how to use population projections.
These projections supersede the previously updated 2018-base SA2 population projections, which will continue to be available on ADE until all 2023-base SA2 and SA3 population projections have been released.
Technical enquiries
Population estimates, projections, and coverage team
[email protected]
04 931 4600
Next release
Statistical area 2 and 3 population projections: 2023(base)-2053 – sixth instalment will be released on 29 July 2026.
