Strong start to dairy export season

Dairy led the rise in goods exports in November 2019 as milk powder exports reached $1.1 billion, Stats NZ said today.

This is the highest value of milk powder exports for a November month since dairy exports peaked in 2013.

The value of dairy exports (milk powder, butter, and cheese) increased $348 million in November 2019. Dairy was the main contributor to total goods exports reaching $5.2 billion, up $371 million from the same month last year.

Milk powder exports had the largest increase within the dairy category, up $252 million from the same month last year.

“Typically, exports of milk powder go over $1.0 billion in December months, the peak of the dairy export season,” international statistics manager Darren Allan said.

“Since the start of the 2019/20 season we’ve seen higher quantities and prices for milk powder exports compared with the previous season. The high this month was mainly driven by price, but quantities were also up.”

Month2016/172017/182018/192019/20
August190101748184541457200357539227501739
September286872667344611544311331733440782803
October530071592660221499606161288786731425
November6895447677687893118582205471109732675
December856782189107689968810991841430
January7060095397599157898568817090
February5567006125539519026789164300
March5833386875574299257555731890
April5538623665595858376912195300
May5975974304919401106310501670

Most milk powder exports were to China, up $260 million from November 2018, to reach $711 million this month.

MonthMilk powder exports to ChinaTotal milk powder exports (excluding China)
Nov-0532905886235472656
Nov-0625134008325377641
Nov-0762860052461627122
Nov-0892188565425858293
Nov-0991784170317418363
Nov-10138689274414056494
Nov-11127329761590189390
Nov-12232130182405828781
Nov-13705915096476064913
Nov-14208842674566957098
Nov-15260992831423067029
Nov-16223727691465817076
Nov-17291809391476979920
Nov-18450442960407777587
Nov-19710533475399199200

Butter exports to China also rose $44 million to reach $70 million in the November 2019 month.

This rise in dairy exports to China contributed to a record monthly high of $1.9 billion worth of total goods exports to China in the November 2019 month.

“While monthly exports to China were up 36 percent in November, exports to eight of New Zealand’s top 10 markets fell, including key export markets of Australia, USA, Japan, and South Korea.”

CountryNovember 2018November 2019
People’s Republic of China13850430181878258037
Australia787197657745920855
United States of America493125538461928974
EU312027857312639606
Japan273899697265663049
Republic of Korea148241917123006865
Hong Kong9807957573811086
Taiwan8437010978415680
Singapore10865386185684236
Malaysia7821300673995429

Other significant contributors to the goods exports rise included beef and lamb, up $52 million and $31 million, respectively.

These rises were partly offset by a fall in untreated logs, down $58 million. This is the fifth consecutive month untreated logs export values have fallen compared with the same time last year, largely due to falls in demand from China.

Green kiwifruit also fell $21 million as the 2019 kiwifruit season comes to an end.

Imports

Monthly goods imports rose $119 million from the same month last year to reach $6.0 billion in November 2019.

Trade deficit for November

The monthly trade balance was a deficit of $753 million.

/Stats NZ Public Release. View in full here.