Dairy commodities sustain high prices

Price rises across dairy commodities drove an annual increase in the value of exports for dairy products, Stats NZ said today.

In the year ended July 2022, the total export value of milk powder, butter, and cheese increased $2.8 billion (17 percent) to $18.8 billion, compared with the year ended July 2021.

“Dairy products had a strong finish to the export season with a continuation of high prices, especially in the second half of the season,” international trade statistics manager Alasdair Allen said.

The annual increase was heavily driven by exports of milk powder, up $1.1 billion to $10 billion and milk fats, including butter, up $1.1 billion to $3.8 billion from the year ended July 2021.

Over half of the dairy commodity group exports were made up of milk powder products (55 percent). Milk powder, butter, and cheese made up 28 percent of total annual exports of all commodities.

Other annual increases within dairy products included fresh milk and cream, up $231 million (21 percent) to $1.3 billion, and cheese, up $112 million (5.3 percent) to $2.2 billion.

Month2019/20202020/20212021/2022
August538699896593878162590220184
September872751972775628665888708521
October144748339612493314681473095016
November180233447017964374191940236708
December198321829516072008772049701265
January159647133514247754361596648922
February147740025912605823121546341330
March149251619615530635451941101783
April156453096112538741031559168769
May133026176114845667001611258607
June122614972616104858741602128297
July111558231814314334981831666111

Outside of our main dairy commodities, there was also a large annual rise for casein in July 2022.

Annual casein exports were valued at $1.6 billion, a record high. This was an increase of $518 million (up 48 percent) from the previous year. The quantity exported rose 3.9 percent, and the price per kilogram of casein increased 41 percent to $16.79.

Month2019/20202020/20212021/2022
August411963974992989457921845
September505011374894762390207177
October8754676884841515130110757
November8480187784519017110321961
December90378704102759536148284925
January12403025684921554137119341
February8824053882073848125600076
March9460536096106823167594208
April10890735099365810138746254
May74771442140857926134489115
June8835147695956113148458928
July97430558112698268196847303

Although the quantity for milk powder, butter, and cheese decreased 9.1 percent, the average unit price saw an increase of 28 percent, increasing from $4.82 to $6.16.

Compared with the year ended July 2021, unit price changes for dairy products included:

  • milk powder (up 27 percent)
  • milk fats including butter (up 40 percent)
  • milk and cream (up 20 percent)
  • cheese (up 19 percent)
  • whey and other products (up 23 percent)
  • casein (up 41 percent).

Another dairy-based commodity, preparations of milk, cereals, flour, and starch (including infant formula), saw a much smaller increase in unit price, up 0.1 percent. Export values fell $25 million (1.7 percent) to $1.5 billion.

However, prior to the 0.1 percent annual increase in July 2022, infant formula had nine consecutive falls in year-ended prices.

Annual export volumes of dairy products in the year ending July 2022 were comparable with previous seasons, resulting in an overall increase heavily driven by higher prices.

Dairy product2019/20202020/20212021/2022
Milk and cream457435216447547735655152051007
Milk powder225611723802297541854222661996572
Milk fats including butter536239026751158577294809190807
Cheese398114910740434677774212532298
Whey and other products109504659710463467361135003397

/Stats NZ Public Release. View in full here.